Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Boston on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Boston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → BOS 12:45DL 855	6h 45m	99%	92%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	2h 16m Charlotte	CLT 10:14 → BOS 12:31AA 2263	5h 40m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093	1h 05m Atlanta	ATL 22:40 → BOS 01:20 +1DL 865	5h 18m	95%	87%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	3h 01m Atlanta	ATL 18:15 → BOS 21:00DL 821	7h 09m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 16:45 → BOS 19:30DL 518	7h 48m	100%	86%
American Details →	MYR 12:02 → CLT 13:09AA 2431	1h 18m Charlotte	CLT 14:27 → BOS 16:59AA 901	4h 57m	89%	76%
American Details →	MYR 17:48 → CLT 18:58AA 2943	1h 01m Charlotte	CLT 19:59 → BOS 22:18AA 1843	4h 30m	87%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON