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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Cleveland on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cleveland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → CLE 11:32DL 2978 5h 32m 98% 91%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 3h 47m Atlanta ATL 16:51 → CLE 18:41DL 1350 6h 59m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 3h 01m Charlotte CLT 10:59 → CLE 12:40AA 848 5h 49m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → MYR 09:15 → CLT 10:33AA 5878 · flown by Piedmont 3h 47m Charlotte CLT 14:20 → CLE 15:59AA 1244 6h 44m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:48 → CLT 18:58AA 2943 3h 52m Charlotte CLT 22:50 → CLE 00:29 +1AA 2260 6h 41m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → CLE 00:49 +1DL 1320 4h 47m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → MYR 18:45 → PHL 20:34AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 1h 14m Philadelphia PHL 21:48 → CLE 23:24AA 981 4h 39m 81% 66%
AmericanDetails → MYR 13:27 → PHL 15:14AA 6120 · flown by Piedmont 2h 01m Philadelphia PHL 17:15 → CLE 19:06AA 5862 · flown by Piedmont 5h 39m 89% 65%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON