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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Hebron on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 5h 25m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 3h 45m Detroit DTW 17:16 → CVG 18:35DL 5060 · flown by Endeavor 7h 01m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 4h 59m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → MYR 20:02 → ATL 21:35DL 1093 1h 36m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 4h 37m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296 2h 55m Charlotte CLT 10:53 → CVG 12:19AA 1533 5h 28m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 17:59 → CVG 19:25DL 3119 5h 34m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → MYR 17:48 → CLT 18:57AA 2943 3h 33m Charlotte CLT 22:30 → CVG 23:58AA 626 6h 10m 98% 76%
AmericanDetails → MYR 12:02 → CLT 13:08AA 2431 2h 59m Charlotte CLT 16:07 → CVG 17:33AA 5293 · flown by PSA 5h 31m 89% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON