tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 92% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 72% of the time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → MYR 09:15 → CLT 10:33AA 5878 · flown by Piedmont 2h 42m Charlotte CLT 13:15 → DEN 14:51AA 696 7h 36m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145 2h 50m Detroit DTW 16:21 → DEN 17:27DL 2431 7h 53m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 15:02 → DEN 16:28DL 493 6h 46m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → MYR 10:34 → IAD 12:11UA 4324 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 24m Dulles IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126 7h 55m 96% 87%
DeltaDetails → MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182 1h 29m Atlanta ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519 6h 05m 97% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → MYR 18:45 → PHL 20:34AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 50m Philadelphia PHL 21:24 → DEN 23:28AA 2878 6h 43m 72% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON