Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, OH 5653 at 16:56, with a 11% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


OH 5653 PSA	MYR 16:56	DFW 18:50	11%	4%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961	6h 12m	99%	92%
American Details →	MYR 06:51 → CLT 07:58AA 3296	3h 04m Charlotte	CLT 11:02 → DFW 12:47AA 2747	6h 56m	99%	90%
American Details →	MYR 09:15 → CLT 10:33AA 5878 · flown by Piedmont	2h 36m Charlotte	CLT 13:09 → DFW 14:54AA 1690	6h 39m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:34 → DTW 13:31DL 1145	2h 27m Detroit	DTW 15:58 → DFW 17:41DL 1441	7h 07m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	MYR 11:42 → ATL 13:04DL 3047	1h 26m Atlanta	ATL 14:30 → DFW 15:45DL 921	5h 03m	98%	87%
American Details →	MYR 11:19 → PHL 13:08AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont	3h 14m Philadelphia	PHL 16:22 → DFW 19:09AA 2356	8h 50m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 17:43 → DFW 19:03DL 1827	6h 12m	98%	86%
American Details →	MYR 12:02 → CLT 13:09AA 2431	58m Charlotte	CLT 14:07 → DFW 16:05AA 9781	5h 03m	91%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON