Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, DL 1145 at 11:34, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


DL 1145 Delta Flight history →	MYR 11:34	DTW 13:31	5%	2%	0.6%	86%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	MYR 06:00 → ATL 07:19DL 3162	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 56m	99%	91%
Delta Details →	MYR 10:46 → ATL 12:16DL 3047	1h 31m Atlanta	ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031	4h 56m	99%	90%
American Details →	MYR 06:18 → CLT 07:24AA 3296	4h 00m Charlotte	CLT 11:24 → DTW 13:14AA 1683	6h 56m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	MYR 18:51 → ATL 20:14DL 1093	2h 45m Atlanta	ATL 22:59 → DTW 00:59 +1DL 2940	6h 08m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	MYR 13:51 → ATL 15:14DL 3182	2h 57m Atlanta	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	6h 22m	98%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON