Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 690 at 13:09, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 690 Southwest	OAK 13:09	GEG 15:14	13%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	OAK 06:01 → SEA 08:06AS 705	1h 49m Seattle	SEA 09:55 → GEG 11:00AS 2200 · flown by Horizon	4h 59m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	OAK 06:00 → SLC 08:55DL 4061 · flown by SkyWest	2h 35m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 12m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	OAK 17:05 → SLC 19:57DL 3903 · flown by SkyWest	3h 18m Salt Lake City	SLC 23:15 → GEG 23:55DL 1466	6h 50m	100%	86%
Alaska Details →	OAK 07:52 → PDX 09:29AS 2298 · flown by Horizon	1h 01m Portland	PDX 10:30 → GEG 11:45AS 250	3h 53m	96%	84%
Alaska Details →	OAK 19:47 → SEA 21:50AS 1359	1h 05m Seattle	SEA 22:55 → GEG 00:02 +1AS 1382	4h 15m	85%	63%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON