tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 1751 at 12:09, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1751 Southwest OKC 12:09 AUS 13:30 6% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 02m Denver DEN 08:00 → AUS 11:15UA 456 5h 10m 97% 91%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 1h 07m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:14 → AUS 08:24AA 1643 3h 23m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490 1h 33m Atlanta ATL 15:50 → AUS 17:19DL 1491 6h 10m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 47m Atlanta ATL 09:43 → AUS 11:03DL 2886 5h 14m 93% 86%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:25 → DFW 08:34AA 2272 3h 56m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:30 → AUS 13:41AA 1852 6h 16m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → OKC 11:30 → DEN 12:28UA 5490 · flown by SkyWest 1h 16m Denver DEN 13:44 → AUS 16:58UA 2270 5h 28m 95% 83%
AmericanDetails → OKC 08:25 → DFW 09:44AA 6203 · flown by SkyWest 3h 40m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:24 → AUS 14:37AA 1073 6h 12m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → OKC 13:43 → IAH 15:25UA 5531 · flown by SkyWest 3h 25m Houston IAH 18:50 → AUS 19:57UA 2674 6h 14m 99% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → OKC 19:11 → DFW 19:46AA 2812 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:33 → AUS 21:37AA 2707 2h 26m 69% 53%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON