tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3040 Southwest OKC 07:34 BNA 09:23 3% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 726 Southwest OKC 14:24 BNA 16:13 8% 3% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 25m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 41m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Minneapolis MSP 12:50 → BNA 14:52DL 2843 7h 07m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121 6h 08m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Denver DEN 09:44 → BNA 13:27UA 355 7h 22m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:40 → CLT 10:20AA 2273 1h 39m Charlotte CLT 11:59 → BNA 12:28AA 2409 5h 48m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:39 → ORD 10:03AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest 3h 30m Chicago ORD 13:33 → BNA 15:16AA 2991 7h 37m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002 7h 20m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:02 → LGA 10:30AA 4535 · flown by Republic 1h 24m New York LGA 11:54 → BNA 13:33AA 4481 · flown by Republic 7h 31m 97% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON