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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2273 American Flight history → OKC 06:40 CLT 10:20 4% 3% 0.6% 90%
AA 1626 American Flight history → OKC 13:36 CLT 17:10 10% 4% 0.7% 89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 3h 24m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 6h 42m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → CLT 19:21DL 3158 7h 12m 100% 91%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:02 → LGA 10:30AA 4535 · flown by Republic 1h 40m New York LGA 12:10 → CLT 14:14AA 1150 7h 12m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:39 → ORD 10:03AA 4994 · flown by SkyWest 1h 49m Chicago ORD 11:52 → CLT 14:59AA 3021 6h 20m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Denver DEN 09:55 → CLT 15:20UA 2231 8h 15m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020 2h 29m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:11DL 2132 5h 53m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 3h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:02 → CLT 13:49AA 2493 7h 48m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:25 → DFW 08:34AA 2272 3h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:55 → CLT 15:36AA 1696 7h 11m 98% 87%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON