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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 86% chance of reaching Orlando on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 1h 12m Denver DEN 08:10 → MCO 13:57UA 2292 6h 52m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 1h 29m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 5h 11m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:05 → MCO 10:49AA 2119 4h 48m 95% 81%
UnitedDetails → OKC 11:30 → DEN 12:28UA 5490 · flown by SkyWest 1h 20m Denver DEN 13:48 → MCO 19:39UA 501 7h 09m 95% 79%
DeltaDetails → OKC 07:45 → MSP 09:58DL 3844 · flown by SkyWest 2h 47m Minneapolis MSP 12:45 → MCO 17:04DL 2225 8h 19m 99% 78%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:40 → CLT 10:20AA 2273 2h 09m Charlotte CLT 12:29 → MCO 14:16AA 2117 6h 36m 98% 78%
DeltaDetails → OKC 06:26 → LGA 10:52DL 5172 · flown by Endeavor 57m New York LGA 11:49 → MCO 14:42DL 2564 7h 16m 93% 77%
DeltaDetails → OKC 11:09 → ATL 14:17DL 2490 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 7h 39m 100% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON