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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:49, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Miami on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Miami on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OKC 05:49 → ATL 08:56DL 1184 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → MIA 13:02DL 1332 6h 13m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → OKC 05:01 → DFW 06:07AA 656 1h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 07:10 → MIA 11:11AA 3290 5h 10m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → OKC 17:07 → ATL 20:29DL 2862 2h 24m Atlanta ATL 22:53 → MIA 00:55 +1DL 1589 6h 48m 98% 83%
AmericanDetails → OKC 06:40 → CLT 10:20AA 2273 3h 15m Charlotte CLT 13:35 → MIA 15:46AA 1198 8h 06m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → OKC 07:25 → DFW 08:34AA 2272 1h 54m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:28 → MIA 14:33AA 1454 6h 08m 97% 81%
AmericanDetails → OKC 13:34 → ORD 15:49AA 6395 · flown by SkyWest 3h 15m Chicago ORD 19:04 → MIA 23:26AA 1159 8h 52m 100% 80%
UnitedDetails → OKC 06:05 → DEN 06:58UA 4751 · flown by SkyWest 2h 56m Denver DEN 09:54 → MIA 16:03UA 1418 8h 58m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → OKC 13:18 → ATL 16:30DL 2020 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 19:53 → MIA 21:59DL 1588 7h 41m 99% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON