Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2966 at 10:39, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2966 Southwest	OMA 10:39	BNA 12:28	5%	1%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	1h 15m Atlanta	ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155	4h 44m	98%	93%
Delta Details →	OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest	3h 20m Minneapolis	MSP 12:50 → BNA 14:52DL 2843	6h 47m	99%	91%
American Details →	OMA 06:20 → CLT 09:58AA 1042	2h 01m Charlotte	CLT 11:59 → BNA 12:27AA 2409	6h 07m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest	2h 57m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557	6h 38m	98%	90%
American Details →	OMA 07:00 → ORD 08:51AA 3197	2h 34m Chicago	ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:06AA 2362	6h 06m	99%	90%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	2h 55m Denver	DEN 09:44 → BNA 13:27UA 355	7h 27m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:52 → MSP 12:15DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Minneapolis	MSP 15:29 → BNA 17:35DL 2612	6h 43m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	OMA 13:40 → ATL 17:03DL 1125	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002	6h 58m	100%	88%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON