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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 1042 American Flight history → OMA 06:20 CLT 09:58 3% 2% 0.6% 91%
AA 1079 American OMA 14:54 CLT 18:23 10% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 1h 28m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190 5h 01m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 3h 09m Minneapolis MSP 10:30 → CLT 13:57DL 2819 6h 57m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → OMA 17:25 → ATL 20:57DL 2364 1h 44m Atlanta ATL 22:41 → CLT 23:58DL 3177 5h 33m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → OMA 07:37 → PHL 11:44AA 5074 · flown by PSA 2h 05m Philadelphia PHL 13:49 → CLT 15:45AA 793 7h 08m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 3h 07m Denver DEN 09:56 → CLT 15:21UA 2231 8h 21m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest 1h 09m Detroit DTW 10:37 → CLT 12:24DL 2684 4h 59m 95% 90%
AmericanDetails → OMA 07:00 → ORD 08:51AA 3197 3h 01m Chicago ORD 11:52 → CLT 14:59AA 3021 6h 59m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → OMA 14:02 → DTW 17:06DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest 2h 59m Detroit DTW 20:05 → CLT 21:57DL 2352 6h 55m 99% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON