tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5608 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → OMA 11:00 DCA 14:34 6% 2% 0.6% 84%
WN 3057 Southwest OMA 11:23 DCA 15:03 8% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Washington on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 3h 04m Minneapolis MSP 10:25 → DCA 13:48DL 2983 6h 48m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 10:58 → DCA 12:47DL 1798 6h 22m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → OMA 05:20 → DFW 07:20AA 2540 1h 20m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:40 → DCA 12:42AA 1177 6h 22m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 2h 41m Denver DEN 09:30 → DCA 14:59UA 789 7h 59m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → OMA 07:00 → ORD 08:51AA 3197 1h 48m Chicago ORD 10:39 → DCA 13:44AA 1200 5h 44m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:58 → LGA 09:54DL 5295 · flown by Endeavor 1h 26m New York LGA 11:20 → DCA 12:42DL 5749 · flown by Republic 5h 44m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399 3h 18m Houston IAH 11:55 → DCA 16:03UA 654 8h 48m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:52 → MSP 12:15DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest 2h 22m Minneapolis MSP 14:37 → DCA 18:09DL 2963 6h 17m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON