Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 2399 United Flight history →	OMA 06:15	IAH 08:37	5%	2%	0.6%	92%
UA 1148 United	OMA 14:57	IAH 17:15	8%	3%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Minneapolis	MSP 10:24 → IAH 13:14DL 2673	7h 14m	99%	89%
American Details →	OMA 05:20 → DFW 07:20AA 2540	2h 51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:11 → IAH 11:26AA 3829 · flown by Envoy	6h 06m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136	3h 45m Atlanta	ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572	8h 08m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	OMA 13:40 → ATL 17:03DL 1125	3h 10m Atlanta	ATL 20:13 → IAH 21:24DL 1284	7h 44m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest	2h 57m Detroit	DTW 12:25 → IAH 14:15DL 1307	7h 50m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	OMA 14:02 → DTW 17:06DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest	3h 19m Detroit	DTW 20:25 → IAH 22:24DL 1633	8h 22m	99%	87%
United Details →	OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442	53m Denver	DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720	5h 15m	94%	87%
Delta Details →	OMA 10:52 → MSP 12:15DL 3831 · flown by SkyWest	2h 30m Minneapolis	MSP 14:45 → IAH 17:39DL 2644	6h 47m	99%	87%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON