tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3062 Southwest OMA 06:10 LAS 07:01 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3063 Southwest OMA 14:15 LAS 15:17 9% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Las Vegas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 3h 49m Minneapolis MSP 11:10 → LAS 12:26DL 2238 8h 26m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:00 → DEN 06:49UA 1442 1h 16m Denver DEN 08:05 → LAS 09:07UA 2316 5h 07m 97% 91%
UnitedDetails → OMA 06:15 → IAH 08:37UA 2399 3h 18m Houston IAH 11:55 → LAS 13:13UA 1524 8h 58m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838 3h 37m Denver DEN 13:32 → LAS 14:41UA 493 7h 35m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 1h 13m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → LAS 11:00DL 945 7h 35m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:10 → SLC 09:52DL 3874 · flown by SkyWest 1h 43m Salt Lake City SLC 11:35 → LAS 12:01DL 1659 5h 51m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → OMA 14:02 → DTW 17:06DL 3762 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Detroit DTW 19:47 → LAS 21:25DL 916 9h 23m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → OMA 10:23 → ATL 13:38DL 2632 3h 02m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → LAS 17:52DL 711 9h 29m 99% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON