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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Minneapolis, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching San Diego on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach San Diego on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Omaha). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:00 → MSP 07:21DL 3864 · flown by SkyWest 1h 30m Minneapolis MSP 08:51 → SAN 10:38DL 2121 6h 38m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:05 → MSP 09:30DL 3512 · flown by SkyWest 2h 08m Minneapolis MSP 11:38 → SAN 13:24DL 2125 7h 19m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → OMA 06:25 → DTW 09:28DL 4110 · flown by SkyWest 3h 06m Detroit DTW 12:34 → SAN 14:26DL 761 10h 01m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → OMA 05:25 → ATL 08:42DL 1136 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 11:50 → SAN 13:08DL 540 9h 43m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → OMA 08:10 → SLC 09:52DL 3874 · flown by SkyWest 1h 18m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → SAN 12:08DL 1296 5h 58m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → OMA 09:06 → DEN 09:55UA 2838 3h 35m Denver DEN 13:30 → SAN 14:55UA 1302 7h 49m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → OMA 12:39 → SLC 14:24DL 3815 · flown by SkyWest 2h 46m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → SAN 18:06DL 1252 7h 27m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → OMA 11:23 → ORD 13:15UA 600 3h 11m Chicago ORD 16:26 → SAN 18:51UA 2138 9h 28m 98% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON