Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2803 at 08:34, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2803 Southwest	ONT 08:34	AUS 13:21	6%	1%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Austin on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ONT 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 2446	1h 45m Denver	DEN 10:05 → AUS 13:20UA 1026	6h 20m	99%	90%
United Details →	ONT 13:50 → SFO 15:15UA 1375	3h 17m San Francisco	SFO 18:32 → AUS 00:04 +1UA 2332	8h 14m	99%	89%
American Details →	ONT 08:26 → DFW 13:41AA 2893	3h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:24 → AUS 18:32AA 3722 · flown by Envoy	8h 06m	98%	86%
American Details →	ONT 06:11 → PHX 07:30AA 1194	1h 18m Phoenix	PHX 08:48 → AUS 13:33AA 1059	5h 22m	94%	84%
Delta Details →	ONT 11:48 → ATL 19:15DL 665	1h 30m Atlanta	ATL 20:45 → AUS 22:07DL 1081	8h 19m	97%	84%
American Details →	ONT 05:34 → DFW 10:41AA 1412	1h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:30 → AUS 13:41AA 1852	6h 07m	98%	83%
United Details →	ONT 13:18 → DEN 16:38UA 1263	3h 49m Denver	DEN 20:27 → AUS 23:44UA 1943	8h 26m	98%	82%
Frontier Details →	ONT 10:49 → DEN 14:10F9 2908	2h 02m Denver	DEN 16:12 → AUS 19:39F9 1816	6h 50m	97%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON