tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: United via Denver, leaving 05:00, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Fort Lauderdale on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 3 h ahead of Ontario). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ONT 05:00 → DEN 08:20UA 2446 1h 34m Denver DEN 09:54 → FLL 16:00UA 1214 8h 00m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → ONT 06:20 → SEA 09:15DL 3816 · flown by SkyWest 3h 45m Seattle SEA 13:00 → FLL 21:52DL 338 12h 32m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → ONT 06:00 → SLC 08:48DL 2708 1h 57m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → FLL 17:28DL 745 8h 28m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → ONT 11:48 → ATL 19:15DL 665 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 9h 51m 99% 82%
AmericanDetails → ONT 05:34 → DFW 10:41AA 1412 2h 05m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:46 → FLL 16:54AA 1373 8h 20m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → ONT 12:25 → DFW 17:31AA 2956 3h 34m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:05 → FLL 01:14 +1AA 1847 9h 49m 99% 78%
UnitedDetails → ONT 13:18 → DEN 16:38UA 1263 1h 07m Denver DEN 17:45 → FLL 23:49UA 1374 7h 31m 87% 73%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON