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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1082 United Flight history → ORD 09:06 COS 11:09 8% 3% 0.6% 86%
OO 6189 SkyWest ORD 11:16 COS 13:08 13% 5% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h behind Chicago). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → ORD 05:30 → ATL 08:29DL 1264 3h 01m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → COS 12:32DL 2427 8h 02m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → ORD 05:00 → DEN 06:41UA 2666 1h 04m Denver DEN 07:45 → COS 08:41UA 5246 · flown by SkyWest 4h 41m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → ORD 06:00 → DEN 07:42UA 2806 2h 03m Denver DEN 09:45 → COS 10:46UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 5h 46m 100% 89%
AmericanDetails → ORD 05:00 → DFW 07:30AA 760 3h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:28 → COS 12:37AA 6390 · flown by SkyWest 8h 37m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → ORD 07:05 → DEN 08:55UA 1217 2h 45m Denver DEN 11:40 → COS 12:24UA 738 6h 19m 99% 81%
UnitedDetails → ORD 14:26 → IAH 17:19UA 2062 2h 33m Houston IAH 19:52 → COS 21:29UA 6126 · flown by Mesa 8h 03m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → ORD 11:02 → DFW 13:37AA 1106 3h 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 8h 32m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → ORD 08:30 → DFW 11:04AA 1555 2h 31m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:35 → COS 14:40AA 1170 7h 10m 97% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON