Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


B6 1799 JetBlue Flight history →	ORF 06:00	FLL 08:18	6%	5%	0.8%	74%
DL 1401 Delta	ORF 09:31	FLL 11:48	10%	3%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ORF 05:15 → ATL 06:54DL 2966	1h 11m Atlanta	ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094	4h 44m	97%	90%
United Details →	ORF 06:05 → IAD 07:07UA 1524	1h 14m Dulles	IAD 08:21 → FLL 11:12UA 1825	5h 07m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	ORF 06:20 → ATL 08:10DL 1364	2h 15m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 03m	99%	88%
American Details →	ORF 05:24 → CLT 06:38AA 3130	1h 47m Charlotte	CLT 08:25 → FLL 10:33AA 1419	5h 09m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	ORF 05:56 → LGA 07:25DL 5334 · flown by Endeavor	3h 30m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 58m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	ORF 08:00 → ATL 09:49DL 1338	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341	6h 27m	99%	87%
American Details →	ORF 06:46 → CLT 08:20AA 5036 · flown by PSA	2h 35m Charlotte	CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:08AA 2585	6h 22m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	ORF 06:59 → JFK 08:18DL 5356 · flown by Endeavor	2h 56m New York	JFK 11:14 → FLL 14:24DL 305	7h 25m	98%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON