tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 15–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 2183 Southwest PHX 17:11 COS 19:52 15% 5% 0.4% no record
WN 1194 Southwest PHX 13:04 COS 15:44 19% 3% 0.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 1 h ahead of Phoenix). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PHX 09:45 → SLC 12:21DL 1447 3h 30m Salt Lake City SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest 6h 50m 100% 93%
AmericanDetails → PHX 05:10 → DFW 09:45AA 1655 1h 43m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:28 → COS 12:37AA 6390 · flown by SkyWest 6h 27m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → PHX 06:00 → DEN 08:52UA 337 53m Denver DEN 09:45 → COS 10:46UA 5306 · flown by SkyWest 3h 46m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → PHX 09:08 → DEN 12:00UA 597 3h 35m Denver DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest 6h 24m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → PHX 13:24 → DEN 16:08UA 709 3h 22m Denver DEN 19:30 → COS 20:26UA 5669 · flown by SkyWest 6h 02m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → PHX 10:31 → DFW 15:10AA 3284 2h 17m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:27 → COS 18:34AA 6267 · flown by SkyWest 7h 03m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → PHX 07:30 → DFW 12:06AA 1139 1h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:35 → COS 14:40AA 1170 6h 10m 96% 77%
AmericanDetails → PHX 08:30 → DFW 13:05AA 2719 2h 19m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:24 → COS 16:29AA 790 6h 59m 98% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON