tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 1859 United Flight history → PIT 06:15 IAH 08:18 5% 2% 0.6% 94%
UA 1563 United Flight history → PIT 17:05 IAH 19:17 12% 3% 0.6% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:34 → EWR 09:16UA 3513 · flown by Republic 2h 51m Newark EWR 12:07 → IAH 15:02UA 8120 8h 28m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:36 → ORD 09:30UA 3461 · flown by Republic 3h 10m Chicago ORD 12:40 → IAH 15:40UA 1448 8h 04m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 2h 40m Atlanta ATL 10:05 → IAH 11:14DL 1682 6h 29m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 3h 37m Atlanta ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572 7h 28m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → PIT 16:55 → ATL 18:48DL 1353 4h 00m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → IAH 23:57DL 1601 8h 02m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:05 → LGA 07:33DL 5753 · flown by Republic 3h 17m New York LGA 10:50 → IAH 13:32DL 2099 8h 27m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:57 → ORD 07:38UA 1803 3h 08m Chicago ORD 10:46 → IAH 13:36UA 2767 7h 39m 98% 88%
UnitedDetails → PIT 10:30 → IAD 11:42UA 6184 · flown by Mesa 3h 20m Dulles IAD 15:02 → IAH 17:26UA 2607 7h 56m 100% 88%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → PIT 16:20 → MSP 17:40DL 5249 · flown by Endeavor 1h 00m Minneapolis MSP 18:40 → IAH 21:35DL 2683 6h 15m 65% 57%
UnitedDetails → PIT 15:13 → EWR 17:00UA 4457 · flown by GoJet 54m Newark EWR 17:54 → IAH 20:55UA 2782 6h 42m 74% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON