tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:45, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Las Vegas on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4721 Southwest PIT 06:57 LAS 08:30 4% 1% 0.5% no record
DL 497 Delta PIT 09:44 LAS 11:19 6% 2% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Las Vegas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 2h 30m Atlanta ATL 09:55 → LAS 11:00DL 945 8h 15m 99% 93%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:15 → IAH 08:18UA 1859 3h 37m Houston IAH 11:55 → LAS 13:13UA 1524 9h 58m 100% 92%
UnitedDetails → PIT 08:30 → DEN 09:59UA 1765 3h 33m Denver DEN 13:32 → LAS 14:41UA 493 9h 11m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → PIT 13:57 → ATL 15:45DL 1345 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 18:28 → LAS 19:50DL 919 8h 53m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:50 → ATL 13:35DL 1363 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 16:40 → LAS 17:52DL 711 9h 02m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 2h 10m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → LAS 12:02DL 466 7h 57m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → PIT 06:01 → CLT 07:39AA 376 3h 03m Charlotte CLT 10:42 → LAS 12:29AA 2470 9h 28m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:57 → ORD 07:38UA 1803 3h 31m Chicago ORD 11:09 → LAS 13:08UA 1803 9h 11m 98% 89%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON