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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: Delta via LaGuardia, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 85% chance of reaching Fort Myers on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Myers on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:05 → LGA 07:33DL 5753 · flown by Republic 2h 47m New York LGA 10:20 → RSW 13:26DL 379 7h 21m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:58 → ORD 07:39UA 1803 1h 44m Chicago ORD 09:23 → RSW 13:19UA 1036 6h 21m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → RSW 12:11DL 1153 6h 26m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:54 → ATL 09:40DL 1383 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → RSW 14:35DL 1196 6h 41m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → PIT 07:35 → EWR 09:17UA 3513 · flown by Republic 2h 48m Newark EWR 12:05 → RSW 15:20UA 1810 7h 45m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → PIT 15:46 → ATL 17:32DL 1353 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 20:39 → RSW 22:25DL 1736 6h 39m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → PIT 08:01 → CLT 09:39AA 384 2h 20m Charlotte CLT 11:59 → RSW 14:08AA 2018 6h 07m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → PIT 06:09 → DTW 07:20DL 5319 · flown by Endeavor 1h 16m Detroit DTW 08:36 → RSW 11:38DL 2001 5h 29m 96% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON