tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–8% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1482 Southwest PIT 06:44 STL 07:29 2% 1% 0.4% no record
WN 3312 Southwest PIT 21:09 STL 22:00 8% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Pittsburgh). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PIT 05:45 → ATL 07:25DL 1504 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 09:04 → STL 09:43DL 1400 4h 58m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → PIT 07:05 → ATL 08:50DL 1383 2h 50m Atlanta ATL 11:40 → STL 12:17DL 566 6h 12m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:23 → MSP 12:35DL 845 2h 36m Minneapolis MSP 15:11 → STL 16:50DL 1224 6h 27m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → PIT 13:57 → ATL 15:45DL 1345 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 19:15 → STL 20:06DL 2833 7h 09m 100% 87%
AmericanDetails → PIT 08:01 → CLT 09:39AA 384 2h 19m Charlotte CLT 11:58 → STL 12:54AA 3096 5h 53m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → PIT 11:50 → ATL 13:35DL 1363 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 15:17 → STL 16:07DL 543 5h 17m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → PIT 06:57 → ORD 07:38UA 1803 3h 16m Chicago ORD 10:54 → STL 12:21UA 1044 6h 24m 98% 87%
JetBlueDetails → PIT 06:25 → JFK 07:57B6 1198 3h 15m New York JFK 11:12 → STL 12:50B6 9003 7h 25m 99% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON