Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, UA 1092 at 14:16, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


UA 1092 United	PNS 14:16	DEN 16:31	8%	2%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Pensacola). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 12:55 → DEN 14:00DL 957	8h 00m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995	6h 05m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	PNS 08:01 → ATL 10:15DL 3067	3h 40m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → DEN 14:58DL 530	7h 57m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	PNS 13:54 → ATL 16:13DL 1640	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746	7h 49m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 15:02 → DEN 16:28DL 493	8h 06m	99%	89%
American Details →	PNS 06:46 → CLT 09:35AA 5548 · flown by PSA	3h 40m Charlotte	CLT 13:15 → DEN 14:51AA 696	9h 05m	97%	88%
United Details →	PNS 07:00 → IAH 08:42UA 1823	3h 51m Houston	IAH 12:33 → DEN 14:17UA 2168	8h 17m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	PNS 11:57 → ATL 14:14DL 3198	2h 29m Atlanta	ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519	6h 59m	99%	86%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON