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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Kansas City on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Kansas City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129 2h 52m Atlanta ATL 12:09 → MCI 13:23DL 2747 6h 23m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PNS 08:01 → ATL 10:15DL 3067 3h 41m Atlanta ATL 13:56 → MCI 15:10DL 1443 7h 09m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019 1h 45m Atlanta ATL 10:00 → MCI 11:11DL 2908 5h 11m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103 3h 45m Atlanta ATL 15:20 → MCI 16:30DL 1660 7h 08m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PNS 17:23 → ATL 19:38DL 1013 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 22:48 → MCI 23:58DL 2911 6h 35m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → PNS 13:19 → ATL 15:35DL 1640 2h 16m Atlanta ATL 17:51 → MCI 19:06DL 1130 5h 47m 98% 85%
AmericanDetails → PNS 06:45 → CLT 09:34AA 5548 · flown by PSA 2h 53m Charlotte CLT 12:27 → MCI 13:50AA 3233 7h 05m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → PNS 11:25 → DFW 13:27AA 3982 · flown by Envoy 1h 25m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 14:52 → MCI 16:37AA 3030 5h 12m 97% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON