tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3292 Southwest PNS 12:34 STL 14:31 8% 3% 0.6% no record
WN 3051 Southwest PNS 18:26 STL 20:26 9% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PNS 07:00 → ATL 09:17DL 3129 3h 25m Atlanta ATL 12:42 → STL 13:30DL 1102 6h 30m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → PNS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3019 1h 46m Atlanta ATL 10:01 → STL 10:49DL 1400 4h 49m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → PNS 17:23 → ATL 19:38DL 1013 3h 32m Atlanta ATL 23:10 → STL 23:53DL 1403 6h 30m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → PNS 09:22 → ATL 11:35DL 3103 3h 42m Atlanta ATL 15:17 → STL 16:06DL 543 6h 44m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → PNS 13:19 → ATL 15:35DL 1640 3h 40m Atlanta ATL 19:15 → STL 20:05DL 2833 6h 46m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → PNS 05:22 → CLT 08:18AA 5548 · flown by PSA 2h 54m Charlotte CLT 11:12 → STL 12:19AA 3096 6h 57m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → PNS 11:57 → ATL 14:14DL 3198 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 17:10 → STL 17:53DL 1393 5h 56m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → PNS 07:00 → IAH 08:42UA 1823 3h 18m Houston IAH 12:00 → STL 14:22UA 2042 7h 22m 99% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON