tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AS 3304 at 07:02, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 3304 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSC 07:02 LAX 09:42 8% 6% 0.6% 92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → PSC 05:00 → PHX 07:41AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest 3h 09m Phoenix PHX 10:50 → LAX 12:26AA 2027 7h 26m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → PSC 07:05 → MSP 12:01DL 2622 1h 08m Minneapolis MSP 13:09 → LAX 15:08DL 2974 8h 03m 95% 88%
UnitedDetails → PSC 05:05 → DEN 08:34UA 480 1h 28m Denver DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405 6h 29m 97% 88%
DeltaDetails → PSC 06:15 → SLC 08:50DL 1645 2h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 6h 12m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → PSC 17:21 → SLC 20:06DL 3728 · flown by SkyWest 2h 39m Salt Lake City SLC 22:45 → LAX 23:42DL 1197 6h 21m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → PSC 12:08 → DEN 15:42UA 4721 · flown by SkyWest 3h 56m Denver DEN 19:38 → LAX 21:00UA 1460 8h 52m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → PSC 12:08 → SLC 14:55DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 2h 15m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → LAX 18:07DL 1161 5h 59m 98% 82%
AlaskaDetails → PSC 15:50 → PDX 16:58AS 2471 · flown by Horizon 3h 19m Portland PDX 20:17 → LAX 22:37AS 1391 6h 47m 100% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON