tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, DL 2622 at 07:05, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2622 Delta Flight history → PSC 07:05 MSP 12:01 6% 3% 0.4% 91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of Pasco). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PSC 06:15 → SLC 08:50DL 1645 2h 20m Salt Lake City SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924 6h 25m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → PSC 05:05 → DEN 08:34UA 480 1h 06m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 5h 35m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → PSC 12:08 → SLC 14:55DL 3892 · flown by SkyWest 2h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935 6h 46m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → PSC 15:36 → SEA 16:48DL 3891 · flown by SkyWest 1h 17m Seattle SEA 18:05 → MSP 23:30DL 949 5h 54m 95% 84%
UnitedDetails → PSC 12:08 → DEN 15:42UA 4721 · flown by SkyWest 2h 03m Denver DEN 17:45 → MSP 20:51UA 2076 6h 43m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → PSC 05:00 → PHX 07:41AA 5007 · flown by SkyWest 55m Phoenix PHX 08:36 → MSP 14:08AA 408 7h 08m 92% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON