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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: AA 2425 at 06:01 is the safest bet, 6% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 19%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2425 American Flight history → PSP 06:01 DFW 11:02 6% 3% 0.8% 93%
AA 2548 American Flight history → PSP 12:36 DFW 17:32 19% 6% 0.7% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Palm Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:11 → DEN 08:32UA 1010 1h 07m Denver DEN 09:39 → DFW 12:43UA 1350 5h 32m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 56m Salt Lake City SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800 5h 24m 96% 87%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:05 → DEN 12:43UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 04m Denver DEN 15:47 → DFW 18:52UA 2230 7h 47m 100% 85%
AmericanDetails → PSP 12:45 → PHX 14:04AA 1884 3h 11m Phoenix PHX 17:15 → DFW 21:52AA 2210 7h 07m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → PSP 12:23 → SLC 15:11DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 2h 29m Salt Lake City SLC 17:40 → DFW 21:23DL 2796 7h 00m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:43UA 1843 2h 10m Denver DEN 18:53 → DFW 21:59UA 1565 6h 29m 97% 83%
UnitedDetails → PSP 16:08 → DEN 19:19UA 1552 1h 34m Denver DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239 5h 51m 93% 80%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:16 → PDX 09:48AS 3370 · flown by SkyWest 57m Portland PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392 7h 26m 93% 78%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON