tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, UA 5542 at 07:26, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 5542 United flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSP 07:26 LAX 08:30 13% 5% 0.6% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:11 → DEN 08:32UA 1010 1h 30m Denver DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405 6h 23m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 36m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 6h 21m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:05 → DEN 12:43UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 00m Denver DEN 15:43 → LAX 17:15UA 1195 8h 10m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → PSP 17:15 → SLC 20:00DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 2h 45m Salt Lake City SLC 22:45 → LAX 23:42DL 1197 6h 27m 99% 86%
AmericanDetails → PSP 06:01 → DFW 11:02AA 2425 1h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:31 → LAX 13:47AA 3181 7h 46m 96% 84%
AlaskaDetails → PSP 07:16 → PDX 09:48AS 3370 · flown by SkyWest 57m Portland PDX 10:45 → LAX 13:20AS 695 6h 04m 94% 84%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:28 → SFO 15:06UA 1430 3h 27m San Francisco SFO 18:33 → LAX 19:58UA 1799 6h 30m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → PSP 12:23 → SLC 15:11DL 4042 · flown by SkyWest 1h 59m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → LAX 18:07DL 1161 5h 44m 98% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON