tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, AS 3370 at 07:16, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 3370 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → PSP 07:16 PDX 09:48 6% 4% 0.7% 94%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → PSP 06:06 → SLC 08:54DL 4030 · flown by SkyWest 2h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 6h 04m 99% 92%
UnitedDetails → PSP 05:11 → DEN 08:32UA 1010 2h 55m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 7h 58m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PSP 17:15 → SLC 20:00DL 3852 · flown by SkyWest 2h 50m Salt Lake City SLC 22:50 → PDX 23:44DL 1373 6h 29m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → PSP 09:05 → DEN 12:43UA 5617 · flown by SkyWest 3h 17m Denver DEN 16:00 → PDX 17:44UA 1337 8h 39m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:28 → SFO 15:06UA 1430 3h 52m San Francisco SFO 18:58 → PDX 20:47UA 1227 7h 19m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → PSP 13:30 → DEN 16:43UA 1843 2h 47m Denver DEN 19:30 → PDX 21:15UA 498 7h 45m 97% 84%
AmericanDetails → PSP 12:45 → PHX 14:04AA 1884 3h 29m Phoenix PHX 17:33 → PDX 20:26AA 1625 7h 41m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → PSP 16:08 → DEN 19:19UA 1552 2h 11m Denver DEN 21:30 → PDX 23:13UA 1770 7h 05m 93% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON