Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, WN 2398 at 13:17, with a 6% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 2398 Southwest	PVD 13:17	BNA 14:48	6%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Providence). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:35DL 1023	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867	6h 30m	99%	94%
American Details →	PVD 06:03 → CLT 08:15AA 1585	3h 44m Charlotte	CLT 11:59 → BNA 12:28AA 2409	7h 25m	100%	91%
Delta Details →	PVD 17:24 → ATL 20:14DL 2314	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 23:00 → BNA 23:15DL 3121	6h 51m	99%	90%
American Details →	PVD 07:08 → ORD 08:59AA 360	2h 26m Chicago	ORD 11:25 → BNA 13:07AA 2362	6h 59m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	PVD 13:27 → ATL 16:04DL 2147	3h 16m Atlanta	ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490	7h 11m	99%	89%
United Details →	PVD 05:50 → IAD 07:29UA 6192 · flown by Mesa	1h 01m Dulles	IAD 08:30 → BNA 09:29UA 1366	4h 39m	95%	86%
Delta Details →	PVD 12:56 → DTW 15:00DL 3723 · flown by SkyWest	1h 01m Detroit	DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316	4h 44m	93%	83%
JetBlue Details →	PVD 06:00 → JFK 07:00B6 1129	1h 07m New York	JFK 08:07 → BNA 09:28B6 273	4h 28m	95%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON