tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, B6 1197 at 05:45, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1197 JetBlue Flight history → PVD 05:45 FLL 08:52 8% 2% 0.8% 68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → PVD 06:03 → CLT 08:15AA 1585 2h 40m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:08AA 2585 7h 05m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → PVD 06:00 → ATL 08:35DL 1023 1h 50m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → PVD 13:27 → ATL 16:04DL 2147 3h 54m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 8h 29m 99% 82%
DeltaDetails → PVD 17:24 → ATL 20:14DL 2314 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 7h 15m 98% 81%
JetBlueDetails → PVD 06:00 → JFK 07:00B6 1129 1h 22m New York JFK 08:22 → FLL 11:28B6 1601 5h 28m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → PVD 11:18 → CLT 13:33AA 1569 2h 00m Charlotte CLT 15:33 → FLL 17:44AA 2397 6h 26m 99% 72%
DeltaDetails → PVD 12:56 → DTW 15:00DL 3723 · flown by SkyWest 56m Detroit DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037 6h 04m 92% 72%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON