tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 1515 Delta Flight history → PWM 06:00 ATL 08:45 6% 2% 0.6% 94%
DL 2479 Delta Flight history → PWM 13:55 ATL 16:46 10% 2% 0.6% 65%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → PWM 05:28 → IAD 07:01UA 3522 · flown by Republic 1h 16m Dulles IAD 08:17 → ATL 10:05UA 2739 4h 37m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → PWM 11:47 → MSP 13:49DL 1766 2h 54m Minneapolis MSP 16:43 → ATL 20:15DL 2021 8h 28m 100% 91%
SouthwestDetails → PWM 13:06 → BWI 14:51WN 146 2h 54m Baltimore BWI 17:45 → ATL 19:42WN 3988 6h 36m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → PWM 12:40 → DTW 14:40DL 426 3h 29m Detroit DTW 18:09 → ATL 20:19DL 2053 7h 39m 99% 91%
AmericanDetails → PWM 05:49 → DCA 07:45AA 2884 3h 21m Washington DCA 11:06 → ATL 13:13AA 4733 · flown by Republic 7h 24m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → PWM 11:02 → LGA 12:29DL 5361 · flown by Endeavor 2h 31m New York LGA 15:00 → ATL 18:02DL 974 7h 00m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → PWM 11:09 → LGA 12:46AA 4571 · flown by Republic 1h 26m New York LGA 14:12 → ATL 16:44AA 4607 · flown by Republic 5h 35m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → PWM 06:20 → JFK 07:44DL 5277 · flown by Endeavor 3h 16m New York JFK 11:00 → ATL 13:33DL 1029 7h 13m 98% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON