tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–11% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 3183 American PWM 07:02 CLT 09:33 5% 3% 0.6% no record
AA 1744 American PWM 13:44 CLT 16:07 11% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → PWM 07:19 → PHL 09:07AA 1536 1h 35m Philadelphia PHL 10:42 → CLT 12:38AA 847 5h 19m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → PWM 06:00 → ATL 08:45DL 1515 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 7h 31m 99% 92%
AmericanDetails → PWM 06:29 → ORD 08:13AA 4499 · flown by Republic 3h 39m Chicago ORD 11:52 → CLT 14:59AA 3021 8h 30m 98% 89%
AmericanDetails → PWM 11:09 → LGA 12:46AA 4571 · flown by Republic 1h 45m New York LGA 14:31 → CLT 16:53AA 2033 5h 44m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → PWM 13:55 → ATL 16:46DL 2479 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 18:59 → CLT 20:11DL 2132 6h 16m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → PWM 10:46 → EWR 12:49UA 3405 · flown by Republic 2h 12m Newark EWR 15:01 → CLT 17:10UA 3533 · flown by Republic 6h 24m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → PWM 05:49 → DCA 07:45AA 2884 2h 20m Washington DCA 10:05 → CLT 11:29AA 580 5h 40m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → PWM 10:56 → PHL 12:40AA 6124 · flown by Piedmont 3h 27m Philadelphia PHL 16:07 → CLT 17:46AA 3012 6h 50m 100% 88%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON