tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, UA 2251 at 07:13, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2251 United RDM 07:13 LAX 09:17 12% 3% 0.9% no record
AS 2075 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record RDM 07:00 LAX 09:20 4% 1% 2.0% 96%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Los Angeles on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RDM 05:05 → SLC 07:48DL 4004 · flown by SkyWest 3h 42m Salt Lake City SLC 11:30 → LAX 12:27DL 829 7h 22m 99% 90%
AmericanDetails → RDM 05:30 → PHX 07:57AA 3773 · flown by Envoy 2h 53m Phoenix PHX 10:50 → LAX 12:26AA 2027 6h 56m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:00 → DEN 08:28UA 1188 1h 34m Denver DEN 10:02 → LAX 11:34UA 405 6h 34m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → RDM 05:55 → SFO 07:33UA 702 1h 27m San Francisco SFO 09:00 → LAX 10:43UA 1457 4h 48m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → RDM 06:13 → SEA 07:40DL 4036 · flown by SkyWest 2h 25m Seattle SEA 10:05 → LAX 12:55DL 2769 6h 42m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:49 → SFO 15:32UA 2262 3h 01m San Francisco SFO 18:33 → LAX 19:58UA 1799 6h 09m 99% 85%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 16:00 → PDX 16:50AS 2167 · flown by Horizon 3h 27m Portland PDX 20:17 → LAX 22:37AS 1391 6h 37m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → RDM 12:15 → SLC 15:04DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest 2h 06m Salt Lake City SLC 17:10 → LAX 18:07DL 1161 5h 52m 99% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → RDM 13:14 → DEN 16:42UA 2350 46m Denver DEN 17:28 → LAX 18:52UA 1753 5h 38m 74% 60%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 16:00 → PDX 16:50AS 2167 · flown by Horizon 47m Portland PDX 17:37 → LAX 20:09AS 278 4h 09m 68% 58%
AlaskaDetails → RDM 13:48 → SEA 14:59AS 2400 · flown by Horizon 1h 00m Seattle SEA 15:59 → LAX 18:44AS 1300 4h 56m 71% 55%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON