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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 4911 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record RDU 14:55 CVG 16:41 20% 8% 0.6% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

DeltaDetails → RDU 05:10 → ATL 06:28DL 1552 3h 31m Atlanta ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160 6h 15m 99% 94%
DeltaDetails → RDU 09:23 → BOS 11:25DL 1022 2h 47m Boston BOS 14:12 → CVG 16:45DL 5789 · flown by Republic 7h 22m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → RDU 06:20 → ATL 07:46DL 1192 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149 6h 08m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → RDU 07:00 → BOS 09:02DL 1054 2h 38m Boston BOS 11:40 → CVG 14:07DL 5598 · flown by Republic 7h 07m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → RDU 09:58 → ATL 11:22DL 2634 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 13:48 → CVG 15:11DL 3169 5h 13m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → RDU 15:35 → ATL 17:05DL 2026 3h 10m Atlanta ATL 20:15 → CVG 21:45DL 2248 6h 10m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RDU 18:29 → ATL 20:05DL 2600 3h 06m Atlanta ATL 23:11 → CVG 00:39 +1DL 2395 6h 10m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RDU 11:15 → ATL 12:42DL 1699 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008 5h 26m 99% 91%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → RDU 17:00 → EWR 18:49DL 5222 · flown by Endeavor 1h 26m Newark EWR 20:15 → CVG 22:27DL 5065 · flown by Endeavor 5h 27m 73% 44%
DeltaDetails → RDU 11:29 → LGA 13:12DL 4667 · flown by Endeavor 47m New York LGA 13:59 → CVG 16:11DL 4949 · flown by Endeavor 4h 42m 49% 30%
DeltaDetails → RDU 17:05 → LGA 18:52DL 5180 · flown by Endeavor 1h 18m New York LGA 20:10 → CVG 22:35DL 5517 · flown by Endeavor 5h 30m 53% 23%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON