Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 4532 American flown by Republic Flight history →	RDU 08:00	PIT 09:25	6%	2%	0.7%	90%
YX 4440 Republic	RDU 18:25	PIT 20:02	10%	3%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RDU 06:20 → ATL 07:46DL 1192	3h 24m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 32m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	RDU 05:10 → ATL 06:28DL 1552	2h 35m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → PIT 10:45DL 1363	5h 35m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	RDU 09:58 → ATL 11:22DL 2634	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353	5h 52m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	RDU 18:29 → ATL 20:05DL 2600	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	6h 21m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	RDU 11:15 → ATL 12:42DL 1699	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	5h 53m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	RDU 12:40 → ATL 14:08DL 2052	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:49DL 3122	6h 09m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	RDU 15:35 → ATL 17:05DL 2026	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → PIT 21:51DL 2583	6h 16m	97%	87%
American Details →	RDU 06:00 → PHL 07:42AA 2781	1h 28m Philadelphia	PHL 09:10 → PIT 10:43AA 5032 · flown by PSA	4h 43m	97%	86%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	RDU 10:52 → DCA 12:18AA 5627 · flown by PSA	53m Washington	DCA 13:11 → PIT 14:36AA 4446 · flown by Republic	3h 44m	65%	58%
American Details →	RDU 15:45 → LGA 17:28AA 4749 · flown by Republic	1h 05m New York	LGA 18:33 → PIT 20:10AA 4579 · flown by Republic	4h 25m	68%	52%
Delta Details →	RDU 17:05 → LGA 18:52DL 5180 · flown by Endeavor	2h 28m New York	LGA 21:20 → PIT 23:09DL 5722 · flown by Republic	6h 04m	70%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON