tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–7% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3360 Southwest RIC 06:13 BWI 07:11 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 975 Southwest RIC 15:34 BWI 16:30 7% 1% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RIC 06:04 → BOS 08:00DL 5697 · flown by Republic 3h 10m Boston BOS 11:10 → BWI 12:53DL 5668 · flown by Republic 6h 49m 99% 95%
DeltaDetails → RIC 05:45 → ATL 07:18DL 1460 1h 37m Atlanta ATL 08:55 → BWI 10:47DL 801 5h 02m 98% 93%
DeltaDetails → RIC 11:36 → BOS 13:28DL 5622 · flown by Republic 2h 22m Boston BOS 15:50 → BWI 17:42DL 5644 · flown by Republic 6h 06m 98% 92%
DeltaDetails → RIC 10:19 → ATL 11:58DL 1462 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799 5h 34m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → RIC 06:55 → ATL 08:39DL 1402 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711 6h 06m 98% 91%
UnitedDetails → RIC 06:00 → ORD 07:23UA 224 3h 28m Chicago ORD 10:51 → BWI 13:57UA 2653 7h 57m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → RIC 13:03 → ATL 14:52DL 2650 1h 53m Atlanta ATL 16:45 → BWI 18:41DL 2928 5h 38m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → RIC 15:09 → ATL 16:58DL 3152 2h 32m Atlanta ATL 19:30 → BWI 21:26DL 1257 6h 17m 99% 86%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON