tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: one nonstop, B6 1145 at 08:10, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1145 JetBlue Flight history → RIC 08:10 FLL 10:34 13% 5% 1.2% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RIC 05:45 → ATL 07:18DL 1460 3h 07m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 38m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → RIC 06:30 → CLT 07:54AA 1063 3h 01m Charlotte CLT 10:55 → FLL 13:09AA 2585 6h 39m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → RIC 06:55 → ATL 08:39DL 1402 2h 46m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 25m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → RIC 08:00 → ATL 09:42DL 1415 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 27m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → RIC 10:19 → ATL 11:58DL 1462 1h 47m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 5h 22m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → RIC 15:09 → ATL 16:58DL 3152 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 6h 47m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → RIC 17:28 → ATL 19:09DL 1214 3h 36m Atlanta ATL 22:45 → FLL 00:39 +1DL 1229 7h 11m 98% 82%
AmericanDetails → RIC 07:08 → DFW 09:27AA 2204 2h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:39 → FLL 15:36AA 3220 8h 28m 98% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON