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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 17:35, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching Atlanta on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Reno). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RNO 17:35 → SLC 20:07DL 3732 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Salt Lake City SLC 23:35 → ATL 05:14 +1DL 912 8h 39m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → RNO 05:30 → SLC 07:52DL 1650 2h 03m Salt Lake City SLC 09:55 → ATL 15:39DL 835 7h 09m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → RNO 09:05 → SLC 11:40DL 3719 · flown by SkyWest 1h 55m Salt Lake City SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 7h 17m 100% 90%
UnitedDetails → RNO 05:30 → DEN 08:47UA 225 1h 21m Denver DEN 10:08 → ATL 15:15UA 2806 6h 45m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → RNO 13:04 → SLC 15:34DL 1595 2h 21m Salt Lake City SLC 17:55 → ATL 23:58DL 905 7h 54m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → RNO 10:33 → LAX 12:13DL 4099 · flown by SkyWest 2h 02m Los Angeles LAX 14:15 → ATL 21:59DL 715 8h 26m 98% 86%
AmericanDetails → RNO 05:22 → DFW 10:41AA 1361 1h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:02 → ATL 15:31AA 1008 7h 09m 97% 86%
DeltaDetails → RNO 19:02 → LAX 20:47DL 4126 · flown by SkyWest 1h 53m Los Angeles LAX 22:40 → ATL 06:10 +1DL 899 8h 08m 98% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON