Wednesday, October 7 · typical odds for a Wednesday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 2765 Southwest	RSW 11:54	IND 14:29	14%	3%	1.0%	no record
UA 1495 United	RSW 16:31	IND 20:25	16%	8%	1.9%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Indianapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361	1h 28m Atlanta	ATL 10:01 → IND 11:39DL 8842	4h 54m	98%	90%
Delta Details →	RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385	3h 46m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → IND 12:36DL 3013	7h 01m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:48 → IND 15:19DL 3134	7h 16m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	RSW 10:48 → ATL 12:27DL 1089	3h 34m Atlanta	ATL 16:01 → IND 17:42DL 2979	6h 54m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	RSW 15:41 → ATL 17:34DL 1196	3h 17m Atlanta	ATL 20:51 → IND 22:27DL 1482	6h 46m	98%	84%
American Details →	RSW 12:51 → PHL 15:54AA 2365	2h 25m Philadelphia	PHL 18:19 → IND 20:45AA 4637 · flown by Republic	7h 54m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 17:35 → IND 19:10DL 3120	5h 54m	99%	83%
American Details →	RSW 08:48 → CLT 10:45AA 2241	1h 35m Charlotte	CLT 12:20 → IND 14:00AA 1589	5h 12m	95%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON