tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 18%, against 3% on a calm day. Safest: WN 1220 at 07:16, 2%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1220 Southwest RSW 07:16 MCO 08:10 2% 1% 1.8% no record
WN 3389 Southwest RSW 17:04 MCO 17:59 33% 9% 5.1% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → RSW 05:35 → ATL 07:19DL 1385 1h 06m Atlanta ATL 08:25 → MCO 09:56DL 1213 4h 21m 96% 86%
DeltaDetails → RSW 06:45 → ATL 08:33DL 1361 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 5h 15m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → RSW 08:03 → ATL 09:50DL 1395 1h 35m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → MCO 13:00DL 1030 4h 57m 97% 82%
AmericanDetails → RSW 06:01 → DFW 08:05AA 1281 1h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:32 → MCO 13:23AA 2750 7h 22m 97% 79%
AmericanDetails → RSW 08:48 → CLT 10:45AA 2241 1h 44m Charlotte CLT 12:29 → MCO 14:17AA 2117 5h 29m 95% 77%
DeltaDetails → RSW 13:16 → ATL 15:05DL 1153 2h 55m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 6h 32m 99% 77%
UnitedDetails → RSW 08:40 → ORD 10:51UA 2347 2h 16m Chicago ORD 13:07 → MCO 16:52UA 2620 8h 12m 100% 76%
UnitedDetails → RSW 11:59 → IAD 14:30UA 2054 2h 52m Dulles IAD 17:22 → MCO 19:45UA 2463 7h 46m 100% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → RSW 16:15 → CLT 18:17AA 2018 48m Charlotte CLT 19:05 → MCO 21:00AA 1783 4h 45m 74% 52%
DeltaDetails → RSW 14:23 → LGA 17:13DL 379 46m New York LGA 17:59 → MCO 21:15DL 2561 6h 52m 57% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON