tailodds FORECAST
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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3698 Southwest SAN 08:48 ABQ 11:35 8% 3% 0.7% no record
WN 1424 Southwest SAN 17:42 ABQ 20:29 15% 4% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SAN 13:39 → SFO 15:19UA 1763 3h 22m San Francisco SFO 18:41 → ABQ 22:17UA 5289 · flown by SkyWest 7h 38m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:54 → LAX 12:11DL 3716 · flown by SkyWest 2h 49m Los Angeles LAX 15:00 → ABQ 18:07DL 4091 · flown by SkyWest 6h 13m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → SAN 16:07 → DEN 19:39UA 682 1h 57m Denver DEN 21:36 → ABQ 23:08UA 5880 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 96% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296 1h 07m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest 4h 57m 92% 87%
AmericanDetails → SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535 1h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:08 → ABQ 13:52AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 6h 32m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAN 06:20 → SFO 08:07UA 2830 3h 58m San Francisco SFO 12:05 → ABQ 15:40UA 1597 8h 20m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476 1h 16m Denver DEN 13:33 → ABQ 14:59UA 1594 5h 14m 91% 81%
UnitedDetails → SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565 3h 14m Denver DEN 19:20 → ABQ 20:44UA 484 7h 11m 97% 80%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON