tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 16–22% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 3397 Southwest SAN 07:19 BNA 13:06 16% 3% 0.7% no record
WN 3398 Southwest SAN 11:55 BNA 17:38 22% 3% 0.7% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:20 → MSP 12:04DL 2134 1h 28m Minneapolis MSP 13:32 → BNA 15:39DL 8949 7h 19m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → DTW 13:48DL 754 2h 13m Detroit DTW 16:01 → BNA 16:40DL 2316 8h 25m 100% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:36 → ATL 18:11DL 725 2h 13m Atlanta ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002 8h 02m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → SAN 06:15 → ATL 13:49DL 729 1h 24m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 7h 11m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SAN 08:00 → ATL 15:28DL 1179 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 19:20 → BNA 19:38DL 1490 9h 38m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → SAN 06:20 → SFO 08:07UA 2830 3h 32m San Francisco SFO 11:39 → BNA 18:08UA 499 9h 48m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → SAN 10:54 → LAX 12:11DL 3716 · flown by SkyWest 2h 55m Los Angeles LAX 15:06 → BNA 21:09DL 858 8h 15m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → SAN 07:59 → IAH 13:29UA 2760 2h 51m Houston IAH 16:20 → BNA 18:27UA 2165 8h 28m 100% 84%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON