Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 06:15, is the safest bet: 89% chance of reaching Jackson on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SAN 06:15 → SLC 09:21DL 1117	1h 49m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → JAC 12:15DL 2282	5h 00m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	SAN 09:46 → SLC 12:50DL 1177	2h 55m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:45 → JAC 16:52DL 509	6h 06m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SAN 13:15 → SLC 16:18DL 1296	2h 12m Salt Lake City	SLC 18:30 → JAC 19:37DL 4025 · flown by SkyWest	5h 22m	96%	86%
United Details →	SAN 08:45 → DEN 12:17UA 2476	1h 38m Denver	DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537	5h 40m	94%	83%
United Details →	SAN 12:33 → DEN 16:06UA 1565	2h 57m Denver	DEN 19:03 → JAC 20:35UA 785	7h 02m	97%	77%
American Details →	SAN 06:20 → DFW 11:35AA 2535	1h 37m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883	7h 39m	97%	73%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON